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Businesspeople pessimistic about economic rebound

Publicat la 25.05.2009, 21:00:00

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Businesspeople pessimistic about economic rebound

The cabinet has already issued a crisis plan, but few solutions have been applied and further necessary measures have not been considered. The Employers Confederation of the Romanian Industry (UGIR-1903) has recommended an emergency measure involving massive investments worth €10 billion allocated for this purpose in 2009 and state aid granted to large companies which, by resuming production, will also boost the operations of small and medium-sized enterprises.

UGIR-1903 also suggested that the state help mediate the relation between companies and banks, by establishing an inter-ministerial committee that can intervene when banks impose too many conditions for loans. The Chairman of UGIR-1903, Cezar Coraci, said that Romania is far from overcoming the crisis, in spite of optimistic statements made recently by government and central bank officials. “Basic fields of the economy - IT, machinery construction, metallurgy - are all plunging. We do not understand the optimism of the authorities, when we all have access to the same worrisome data from the National Institute of Statistics (INS),” he said. “Romania cannot afford six more months of electoral campaigning. We hear daily populist promises based on funds that do not exist,” he added. Elections for the European Parliament are to be held this summer and a new president is to be elected this fall.

UGIR-1903 General Manager, Mihai Pasculescu, said that the main dangers for Romania are exchange rate volatility and unemployment. “In the second half of the year, the financial crisis will turn into an economic and social crisis, which will led to street protests,” he warned. The number of unemployed people could reach one million, of which half will not benefit from social security, he added.

The Secretary General of Romania’s Businesspeople Association (AOAR) Cristian Parvan, is less pessimistic. He said that the government could apply more measures to help the country through the crisis, although the initial measures have not yet been applied.

“I am part of optimists who believe that there are still resources for Romania and that we can register economic growth by year-end. That is, provided the government applies certain measures, even as late as the final lap, in addition to those discussed early this year,” Pogonaru said. He added that immediate state intervention is needed in agriculture and construction. Furthermore, the government must provide extra financing for projects with EU financing, for which costs increased due to the depreciation of the leu and higher interest rates, he said.

Most businesspeople are equally skeptical that Romania is overcoming the crisis. “Things are not seen that way in the real economy, and I think that the government and the public are misinterpreting the optimism of the National Bank of Romania,” said Marius Ghenea, one of the most renowned local market entrepreneurs. “My feeling is that the National Bank was referring to overcoming the crisis from a financial point of view” only, he added. The President of the Light Industry Employers Union (FEPAIUS), Maria Grapini, stressed that “the critical moment is definitely not behind us. We are only at the end of the beginning. I would prefer a realistic government to an optimistic one.”

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